Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.003261 0.003420 0.003582 0.003761 0.003951 0.004149 0.004371
2025-05-11 0.002967 0.003202 0.003451 0.003737 0.004056 0.004402 0.004808
2025-05-18 0.002774 0.003052 0.003354 0.003710 0.004119 0.004578 0.005134
2025-05-25 0.002680 0.002995 0.003346 0.003768 0.004267 0.004842 0.005561
2025-06-01 0.002564 0.002902 0.003285 0.003756 0.004325 0.004995 0.005855
2025-06-08 0.002454 0.002808 0.003216 0.003726 0.004353 0.005107 0.006098
2025-06-15 0.002342 0.002705 0.003129 0.003667 0.004338 0.005161 0.006265
2025-06-22 0.002247 0.002617 0.003055 0.003617 0.004330 0.005219 0.006435
2025-06-29 0.002187 0.002568 0.003025 0.003619 0.004385 0.005355 0.006710
2025-07-06 0.002079 0.002457 0.002914 0.003513 0.004295 0.005299 0.006723
2025-07-13 0.002031 0.002418 0.002889 0.003516 0.004344 0.005425 0.006986
2025-07-20 0.002007 0.002408 0.002901 0.003565 0.004455 0.005636 0.007375
2025-07-27 0.001946 0.002349 0.002849 0.003529 0.004452 0.005693 0.007552
2025-08-03 0.001894 0.002300 0.002809 0.003507 0.004466 0.005774 0.007766
2025-08-10 0.001845 0.002252 0.002768 0.003482 0.004474 0.005845 0.007967
2025-08-17 0.001830 0.002250 0.002785 0.003536 0.004592 0.006076 0.008420
2025-08-24 0.001791 0.002213 0.002756 0.003525 0.004618 0.006174 0.008673
2025-08-31 0.001747 0.002170 0.002717 0.003497 0.004618 0.006234 0.008867
2025-09-07 0.001696 0.002114 0.002659 0.003443 0.004577 0.006229 0.008957
2025-09-14 0.001650 0.002066 0.002610 0.003397 0.004548 0.006239 0.009070
2025-09-21 0.001624 0.002042 0.002594 0.003399 0.004587 0.006355 0.009362
2025-09-28 0.001563 0.001971 0.002511 0.003302 0.004476 0.006235 0.009252
2025-10-05 0.001540 0.001951 0.002497 0.003304 0.004514 0.006347 0.009541